Information
received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in April suggestsindicates that the pace of improvement in the
labor market has slowed while growth in economic activity has been
expanding moderately after having changed little during the first quarter. The
pace of job gains appears to have picked up while. Although the unemployment rate remained
steady. On balance, a range of labor market indicators suggests that
underutilization of labor resources has declined, job gains have diminished somewhat. Growth in household spending has been moderate
and the strengthened.
Since the beginning of the year, the housing sector has shown some
improvement; however,continued to improve and the drag from net exports
appears to have lessened, but business fixed investment and net
exports stayed has been soft. Inflation has continued
to run below the Committee's 2 percent longer-run objective, partly
reflecting earlier declines in energy prices and decreasingin prices of non-energy imports; energy
prices appear to have stabilized.. Market-based measures of inflation
compensation remain low;declined; most survey-based measures
of longer-term inflation expectations have remained stableare little changed, on balance, in recent months.
Consistent
with its statutory mandate, the Committee seeks to foster maximum employment
and price stability. The Committee currently expects that, with appropriategradual adjustments in the stance of monetary
policy accommodation, economic activity will expand at a moderate
pace, with and labor market indicators continuing to
move toward levels the Committee judges consistent with its dual mandate. The
Committee continues to see the risks to the outlook for economic activity and
the labor market as nearly balanced.will strengthen. Inflation is anticipatedexpected to remain near its
recent low level in the near term, in part because of earlier
declines in energy prices, but the Committee expects inflation to rise gradually towardto 2 percent over the medium term as
the labor market
improves further and the transitory effects of earlierpast declines in energy and import
prices dissipate. and the labor market strengthens further.
The Committee continues to closely monitor inflation indicators and
global economic and financial developments closely.
In
determining how long to
maintain this the timing and size of future adjustments to the target
range for
the federal funds rate, the Committee will assess progress--both
realized and expected--toward economic conditions relative to its
objectives of maximum employment and 2 percent inflation. This assessment will
take into account a wide range of information, including measures of labor
market conditions, indicators of inflation pressures and inflation
expectations, and readings on financial and international developments. The Committee
anticipates that it will be appropriate to raise the target range for the
federal funds rate when it has seen further improvement in the labor market and
is reasonably confident that inflation will move back to its 2 percent
objective over the medium termIn light of the current shortfall of inflation from
2 percent, the Committee will carefully monitor actual and expected progress
toward its inflation goal. The Committee expects that economic conditions will
evolve in a manner that will warrant only gradual increases in the federal
funds rate; the federal funds rate is likely to remain, for some time, below levels
that are expected to prevail in the longer run. However, the actual path of the
federal funds rate will depend on the economic outlook as informed by incoming
data.
The
Committee is maintaining its existing policy of reinvesting principal payments
from its holdings of agency debt and agency mortgage-backed securities in
agency mortgage-backed securities and of rolling over maturing Treasury
securities at auction., and it anticipates doing so until normalization
of the level of the federal funds rate is well under way. This
policy, by keeping the Committee's holdings of longer-term securities at
sizable levels, should help maintain accommodative financial conditions.
Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were: Janet L. Yellen,
Chair; William C. Dudley, Vice Chairman; Lael Brainard; Charles L. EvansJames Bullard;
Stanley Fischer; Jeffrey M. Lacker; Dennis P. LockhartEsther L.
George; Loretta J. Mester; Jerome H. Powell; Eric Rosengren; and Daniel
K. Tarullo;
and John C. Williams.
.